→ Papers

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My latest

Substack, My Takeaways from Google’s and Oratomic’s Quantum Resource Estimate papers (Apr. 2026)
My reactions to two blockbuster papers on what it would take to crack ECC-256

Substack, The One Huge Oversight in Project Hail Mary (Mar. 2026)
I consider the alien musical language in Andy Weir’s book and consider whether music theory could be discovered from universal principles of physics

Substack, Prediction Markets are not Good Markets (Yet) (Feb 2026)
I identify structural issues with prediction markets that may limit their growth

Substack, Bitcoin developers are mostly not concerned about quantum risk (Feb 2026)
Systematically analyzing the lackadaisical attitudes of Bitcoin developers to quantum risk

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The Quantum Threat to Blockchains

My ongoing effort to persuade Bitcoiners to break out of their torpor and tackle the approaching threat from quantum

Substack, My Takeaways from Google’s and Oratomic’s Quantum Resource Estimate papers (2026)
My reactions to two blockbuster papers on what it would take to crack ECC-256

Substack, Bitcoin developers are mostly not concerned about quantum risk (2026)
In which I specifically quantify how much concern each major Bitcoin developer has shown regarding quantum computing

Substack, Trillion Dollar Salvage: A Bitcoin Story (2026)
A speculative hard sci-fi story considering a bittersweet outcome

Substack, Bitcoin developers are sleepwalking towards collapse (2025)
My case, stated simply

Substack, Bitcoin and the Quantum Problem – Part II: The Quantum Supremacy (2025)
In part II of my flagship series, I examine how exactly Bitcoin is threatened by QC, and why 2025 was an inflection point

Substack, Bitcoin and the Quantum Problem – Part I: Discrete Logs are Hard (2025)
I review Bitcoin’s underlying cryptography and set the table for Part II