Archive

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My latest

Substack, Making Sense of Anthropic’s Pacing Rhetoric (Sep. 2026)
There’s a straightforward business case beneath all the Safety noise

Substack, How Noisy are America’s Largest Data Centers? (Sep. 2026)
Some campuses are bad neighbors. They don’t have to be


Short Fiction

mountain_top
A short story about a Microsoft Powerpoint design template

Human Capital
A short story about scarcity in a world of abundance

Human in the Loop
A short story about a perfectly aligned future

Trillion Dollar Salvage
A Bitcoin story


The Quantum Threat to Blockchains

My ongoing effort to persuade Bitcoiners to break out of their torpor and tackle the approaching threat from quantum

Substack, If the Quantum Canary Sings, It’s Too Late (2026)
Why we can’t rely on early-warning systems for an ECDLP break

Substack, How to resolve the matter of the Satoshi coins without a freeze (2026)
Proposing a method that might be unpalatable but ultimately best for everyone

Substack, My Takeaways from Google’s and Oratomic’s Quantum Resource Estimate papers (2026)
My reactions to two blockbuster papers on what it would take to crack ECC-256

Substack, Bitcoin developers are mostly not concerned about quantum risk (2026)
In which I specifically quantify how much concern each major Bitcoin developer has shown regarding quantum computing

Substack, Trillion Dollar Salvage: A Bitcoin Story (2026)
A speculative hard sci-fi story considering a bittersweet outcome

Substack, Bitcoin developers are sleepwalking towards collapse (2025)
My case, stated simply

Substack, Bitcoin and the Quantum Problem – Part II: The Quantum Supremacy (2025)
In part II of my flagship series, I examine how exactly Bitcoin is threatened by QC, and why 2025 was an inflection point

Substack, Bitcoin and the Quantum Problem – Part I: Discrete Logs are Hard (2025)
I review Bitcoin’s underlying cryptography and set the table for Part II