Archive

May-2020

Substack, AI is not hiking your electricity bill – yet (May 2026)
Consumers worry about AI is driving up their bills. But inflation and the climate transition are to blame

Substack, If the Quantum Canary Sings, It’s Too Late (April 2026)
Why we can’t rely on early warning systems for an ECDLP break

Substack, Prediction markets have an inescapable insider trading problem (April 2026)
Is the ‘socially optimal’ amount of insider trading greater than zero?

Bankless, Bitcoin Has 3 Years to Survive the Quantum Threat (April 2026)
(I didn’t write the title.) Discussion on recent developments on QC and Bitcoin’s governance challenge

My ongoing effort to persuade Bitcoiners to break out of their torpor and tackle the approaching threat from quantum

Substack, If the Quantum Canary Sings, It’s Too Late (2026)
Why we can’t rely on early-warning systems for an ECDLP break

Substack, How to resolve the matter of the Satoshi coins without a freeze (2026)
Proposing a method that might be unpalatable but ultimately best for everyone

Substack, My Takeaways from Google’s and Oratomic’s Quantum Resource Estimate papers (2026)
My reactions to two blockbuster papers on what it would take to crack ECC-256

Substack, Bitcoin developers are mostly not concerned about quantum risk (2026)
In which I specifically quantify how much concern each major Bitcoin developer has shown regarding quantum computing

Substack, Trillion Dollar Salvage: A Bitcoin Story (2026)
A speculative hard sci-fi story considering a bittersweet outcome

Substack, Bitcoin and the Quantum Problem – Part II: The Quantum Supremacy (2025)
In part II of my flagship series, I examine how exactly Bitcoin is threatened by QC, and why 2025 was an inflection point

Substack, Bitcoin and the Quantum Problem – Part I: Discrete Logs are Hard (2025)
I review Bitcoin’s underlying cryptography and set the table for Part II